The analyst holds a concentrated long portfolio in photonics stocks AAOI and SIVE, expressing conviction in the industry's fast TAM ramp and projecting revenue inflection around H2 2027 despite recent losses.
Belief in laser chokepoints and the fastest TAM ramp in photonics, with revenue inflection expected in H2 2027.
Where did I ever say that? Majority of my portfolio is concentrated in photonics with names like $SIVE and $AAOI. However, I’m allowed to talk about other exciting developments as well… Such as the first listed US humanoid player? I still think CPO/optics has the fastest TAM ramp out of any industry, just a bit early since I’m projecting revenue inflection really hits ~H2 2027. I’m personally down a lot past few weeks, but I’m convinced my thesis with laser chokepoints and others plays out.
| Horizon | Raw move | vs SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | -13.0% | -12.9% |
| 1 week | -17.7% | -17.6% |
| 1 month | -32.1% | -32.3% |
| 3 months | — | — |
| 6 months | — | — |