$AVGO

LONG
9 Jul 2026, 01:20 UTC
Asset classstock
Post typeanalysis
Horizonyears

Summary

Broadcom is being re-rated positively due to an extended ASIC deal and a $30B+ RF commitment from Apple, providing a durable revenue floor and dual growth drivers in mobile RF and AI silicon.

Reasoning

Broadcom's extended ASIC deal with Apple through 2031 and a $30B+ commitment for U.S.-made RF/FBAR chips create a stable revenue floor and growth visibility, offsetting concerns about Apple insourcing some silicon and reinforcing Broadcom's position as a key supplier.

Original tweet

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$AVGO — Why the Apple deal is re-rating the stock Broadcom’s rally isn’t random. Two things landed at once: 🔹 ASIC deal extended — Broadcom keeps building custom silicon for Apple across multiple device generations (through 2031) 🔹 $30B+ RF commitment — Apple locks in U.S.-made Broadcom RF/FBAR chips for wireless connectivity The bear case cools, but doesn’t disappear Apple’s N1 chip is already replacing Broadcom’s Wi-Fi/Bluetooth combo silicon in-house. That trend continues. But RF front-end + FBAR filters are a different story — high-complexity, high-volume components where Broadcom’s manufacturing edge is hard to replace. $AAPL insources control silicon, but stays dependent on Broadcom for the hard RF engineering. Don’t double-count the ASIC headline Broadcom’s AI semis already did $10.8B last quarter (+143% YoY), guiding to ~$16B next quarter. Apple isn’t a brand-new ASIC customer appearing from zero — this is visibility extension on an existing relationship, not a new revenue line. The real number to watch: RF $30B+ over ~5-6 years ≈ $5-6B/year in Broadcom revenue. That’s the cleaner, more durable win here — a revenue floor from one of Broadcom’s largest customers, right when investors feared Apple was walking away. Market isn’t just pricing “Apple relationship saved.” It’s pricing Broadcom’s dual identity — mobile RF powerhouse + AI custom silicon partner for the biggest platforms in tech.

Return by horizon

1d
-0.3%
1w
-6.6%

Price performance

HorizonRaw movevs SPY
1 day-0.3%-0.7%
1 week-6.6%-6.5%
1 month
3 months
6 months
AI-classified learn more
Confidence 95% · classified by openai/gpt-4.1-mini