The analyst is watching PLTR, MSFT, AAPL, and META for a potential bounce, maintaining a high conviction in PLTR and viewing recent price drops as overdone or not thesis-destroying, implying a bullish stance on these stocks.
The AI software thesis for PLTR remains unchanged despite the price drop; MSFT's drop is due to headline noise, not fundamental issues; AAPL's price drop reaction is overdone despite price hikes; META is cheap relative to growth; the memory supercycle is real and costs are being passed downstream, confirming MU's role, not a tech breakdown.
Watching 4 names for a potential bounce $PLTR — sitting at its 52-week low near $107, down ~40% YTD from a high of $207. The AI software thesis hasn’t changed. Still the highest conviction name in the book. $MSFT — closed around $352, down ~3.5% on the day. fell after raising Xbox prices again due to the memory shortage CNN — headline noise, not thesis destruction. $AAPL — dropped ~6% to ~$275 after announcing Mac and iPad price hikes. The hikes ranged from 15–25% on Macs and iPads, citing surging memory and storage costs driven by the AI boom StockAnalysis. Reaction feels overdone. $META — hovering near $542, approaching its 52-week low of $520. P/E ~20x on a company growing revenue 22%+ YoY. One of the cheapest it’s traded in years. The common thread? The HBM/memory supercycle is real — and the cost is being passed downstream. This is a $MU confirmation event, not a tech breakdown. Not financial advice.
| Horizon | Raw move | vs SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | +2.2% | +0.6% |
| 1 week | +9.1% | +6.0% |
| 1 month | +7.9% | +6.5% |
| 3 months | — | — |
| 6 months | — | — |