The analyst holds a long-term investment stance on SIVE and AXTI, expecting SIVE to perform like LITE and holding AXTI for a multi-year photonics supercycle. They have exited positions on HOOD, MSTR, and crypto names earlier, and take short-term trades on META and MSFT.
SIVE is expected to be the next LITE if they execute well; AXTI is held for a multi-year photonics supercycle; short-term gains taken on other names due to cycle ends or material changes.
There's stuff I trade, and stuff I invest in. I haven't sold a single $SIVE share since I bought it last month. I expect this to be the next $LITE if they play their cards right, and this is a long term investment. As for stuff like $AXTI, I'm up over 1000%+ but I'm still holding. For multi-year supercycles (photonics), don't need to sell. I do take short-term capital gains tax if I see an end of a cycle nearing or there's material changes, like took all of mine on $HOOD, $MSTR, and crypto names earlier. Or drone names after Greeland peace deal. There's also short term recovery trades like on $META or $MSFT that I take short-term on too. Otherwise, for long term investments, can just hold, let it compound, and use margin withdrawal to not trigger capital gains.
| Horizon | Raw move | vs SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | +2.4% | +1.6% |
| 1 week | -7.2% | -8.6% |
| 1 month | -7.1% | -13.0% |
| 3 months | -4.9% | -10.4% |
| 6 months | — | — |